This paper examines a model in which growth takes place through investment-specific technological change, which in turn is determined endogenously through research spending. In particular, the role of the degree of substitutability between research spending and new capital construction is...

In this paper, a modification is made to the endogenous growth model studied by Lucas [1988]. It is shown that if individuals derive utility from their level of human capital, then a tax on the return to physical capital can raise the equilibrium growth rate. Consumption taxation may increase...

Many real business cycle models lack a significant propagation mechanism. Consequently most of the serial correlation in output is inherited from the serial correlation in the exogenous shocks. A simple model is presented to show there need not be any relationship between the serial correlation...

This paper extends the diffusion index (DI) forecast approach of Stock and Watson (1998, 2002) to the case of possibly nonlinear dynamic factor models. When the number of series is large, a two-step procedure based on the principal components method is useful since it allows the wide variety of...

This paper examines trends in innovative activity in several major Asian countries during 1997-2011 as measured by their filings and grants of various types of intellectual property (IP). By almost all measures, there has been a remarkable increase in innovative activity in China. In fact, in...

This paper examines trends in innovative activity in several major Asian countries during 1997-2011 as measured by their filings and grants of various types of intellectual property (IP). By almost all measures, there has been a remarkable increase in innovative activity in China. In fact, in...

We argue that financial frictions and financial shocks can be an important factor behind the slow recoveries from the three most recent recessions. To illustrate this point, we augment a simple RBC model with a collateral constraint whose tightness is randomly disturbed by a shock that...

This paper examines how and to what extent parameter estimates can be biased in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that omits the zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint on the nominal interest rate. Our Monte Carlo experiments using a standard sticky-price DSGE model show that no...

We argue that nonhomothetic preferences with habit formation in nondurable and durable consumption can be a driving force behind sectoral comovement in production. We make this point by augmenting a two-sector New Keyesian model a la Barsky, House and Kimball (2007) with these two real features...

We argue that financial frictions and financial shocks can be an important factor behind the slow recoveries from the three most recent recessions. To illustrate this point, we augment a simple RBC model with a collateral constraint whose tightness is randomly disturbed by a shock that...