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Previsão da eficácia ofensiva do futebol profissional: Um caso Português

Caiado, Jorge; Vieira, Aníbal; Bonito, Ana; Reis, Carlos; … - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006

The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648

How to apply trade theory to the German unification? Making sense of ‘comparative advantage in nothing’

Thomas, Ziesemer - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 1999

We derive several cases of 'comparative advantage in nothing', which can be relevant for East Germany. The simplest case with little relevance is the HO assumption of identical technologies across regions implanted into the Ricardian model. The second is the case with full employment wages...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168468

A Tear in the Iron Curtain: The Impact of Western Television on Consumption Behavior

Bursztyn, Leonardo; Cantoni, Davide - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012

This paper examines the impact of exposure to foreign media on the economic behavior of agents in a totalitarian regime. We study private consumption choices focusing on former East Germany, where differential access to Western television was determined by geographic features. Using data...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010567965

Opium for the Masses: How Foreign Free Media Can Stabilize Authoritarian Regimes

Kern, Holger; Hainmueller, Jens - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007

A common claim in the democratization literature is that foreign free media undermine authoritarian rule. No reliable micro-level evidence on this topic exists, however, since independent survey research is rarely possible in authoritarian regimes and self-selection into media consumption...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789426

A case study: the revisions and forecasts of Euro Area quarterly GDP

D'Elia, Enrico - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012

In general, rational economic agents trade off the cost of waiting for the statistical agencies disseminate the final results of the relevant surveys before making a decision, on the one hand, and of making use of some model based predictions. Thus, from the viewpoint of agents, predictions and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259931

Mutual influence of exchange assets: analysis and estimation

Kozmenko, Serhiy; Plastun, Oleksiy - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2011

This paper examines the dynamic of prices for different exchange assets in relation to the dynamics of other exchange instruments. The analysis shows that in certain periods there exists a strong connection between the exchange assets(direct or indirect) but it is rather unstable. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260013

Challenges for Romania’s employment policy in the Real Economy

Marinela, Simuţ Ramona; Lavinia, Delcea - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012

the employment policy promoted by the Romanian government and ends with a forecast of the unemployment rate for the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260285

Economic scenario of United States of America before and after 2012 U.S. Presidential Election

Sinha, Pankaj; Singhal, Anushree; Sondhi, Kriti - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012

Deficit/ Surplus, Unemployment Rate, Inflation and others. We forecast the macroeconomic variables post 2012 using ARIMA …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260661

Modelling Time Series Count Data: An Autoregressive Conditional Poisson Model

Heinen, Andreas - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2003

This paper introduces and evaluates new models for time series count data. The Autoregressive Conditional Poisson model (ACP) makes it possible to deal with issues of discreteness, overdispersion (variance greater than the mean) and serial correlation. A fully parametric approach is taken and a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260271

Output gap and inflation nexus: the case of United Arab Emirates.

Osman, Mohammad; Jean Louis, Rosmy; Balli, Faruk - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008

Output gap is generally used in assessing both the inflationary pressures and the cyclical position of a nation’s economy. However, this variable is not observable and must be estimated. In this paper, we accomplish two tasks. First, we estimate the output gap for the United Arab Emirates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322891