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Fossil fuel based CO2 emissions, economic growth, and world crude oil price nexus in the United States
Shanthini, Rajaratnam - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007
With the prime objective of learning from the fossil fuel based CO2 emissions-economic growth-world crude price nexus of a leading economy, the underpinning nature of the relationship among them is investigated for the United States (US). Autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing approach to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008871156
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Previsão da eficácia ofensiva do futebol profissional: Um caso Português
Caiado, Jorge; Vieira, Aníbal; Bonito, Ana; Reis, Carlos; … - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648
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Exact prediction of inflation in the USA
Ivan, Kitov - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation and labor force growth rate has been recently found for the USA. It … lagged relationship provides a precise forecast at the two-year horizon with root mean square forecasting error (RMSFE) as … forecast methodology effectively outperforms any other forecasting technique reported in economic and financial literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835571
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La modélisation macroéconomique comme processus de communication : pour une formalisation finaliste des équations de comportement
Buda, Rodolphe - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 1994
The assumption we submit, because macroeconomic forcasts would be unperfect, is that behavioral equations doesn't enough describe economic behaviours through the capacity of reaction opposite to environment. Further, the forcaster belongs to his search-system, so that, may be, we must now...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836791
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Mutual influence of the exchange assets: practical aspects
Kozmenko, Serhiy; Plastun, Oleksiy - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
The following article considers the practical use of temporary connections that arise between different exchange assets. The concrete recommendations to build a trading strategy based on the theory of market focuses are proposed. The main idea in this case is that strong positive correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258360
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A case study: the revisions and forecasts of Euro Area quarterly GDP
D'Elia, Enrico - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
In general, rational economic agents trade off the cost of waiting for the statistical agencies disseminate the final results of the relevant surveys before making a decision, on the one hand, and of making use of some model based predictions. Thus, from the viewpoint of agents, predictions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259931
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Mutual influence of exchange assets: analysis and estimation
Kozmenko, Serhiy; Plastun, Oleksiy - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2011
This paper examines the dynamic of prices for different exchange assets in relation to the dynamics of other exchange instruments. The analysis shows that in certain periods there exists a strong connection between the exchange assets(direct or indirect) but it is rather unstable. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260013
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Challenges for Romania’s employment policy in the Real Economy
Marinela, Simuţ Ramona; Lavinia, Delcea - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
the employment policy promoted by the Romanian government and ends with a forecast of the unemployment rate for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260285
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Economic scenario of United States of America before and after 2012 U.S. Presidential Election
Sinha, Pankaj; Singhal, Anushree; Sondhi, Kriti - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
Deficit/ Surplus, Unemployment Rate, Inflation and others. We forecast the macroeconomic variables post 2012 using ARIMA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260661
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Confidence intervals of forecasts from nonlinear econometric models
Bianchi, Carlo; Calzolari, Giorgio - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 1983
Several methods have been proposed in the last few years for evaluating uncertainty in forecasts produced by nonlinear econometric models. Some methods resort to Monte Carlo, while others resort to different simulation techniques. This work aims at comparing these methods by means of experiments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855245