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Recent studies have indicated that the terms 'NAIRU' (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) and 'natural … features. This study evaluates comparatively the inflation-forecasting power of alternative time-varying estimates of the … twentieth century. The analysis reveals that the overall inflation-forecasting utility of the natural rate of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835658
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
A preliminary regression analysis of different versions of the Phillips Curve on the basis of yearly data of the German economy from 1952 to 2004 leads to the conclusion that the original finding might still be of empirical relevance. A simple plot of seasonal adjusted quarterly data between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008587820
crisis since the Biafra war of the sixties. Currently, she is experiencing a staggering rate of inflation (well up to the … “inflation crunch” have adjusted to or tried to adapt to this pressure. In other words, this phased research project proposes to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623253
This note, published in 1995, assesses the problems that might be entailed by the introduction of the European monetary union. It is argued that wage pressure will not be diminished by forming the union, and the stagflation problem that lies at the root of the rising trend in unemployment will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506467
The new member countries of the European Union professed on the day of their entry to adopt the single European currency Euro without undue delays. There arise two quite fundamental questions within this context, which are: “When will they make this step?” and “Will they be able, in this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011267898
’ quarterly data from 1993:Q1 to 2006:Q4. The estimates of money demand function based on the quantity theory indicate a stable … the target is to stimulate growth and to control inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260942
’s assets do not rise in step with its liabilities. The backing theory is used to examine whether inflation can be avoided by a …A numerical example of privately issued money is used to illustrate the fiscal theory of the price level, and to show … that the fiscal theory is best understood as a subset of the backing theory of money. Government issuance of money or debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228907
, whether the fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL) is able to deliver a reasonable explanation for the different evolutions …-Ricardian equilibria in Spain, while the opposite is true for Germany. We interpret this as evidence for the inflation differences in these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621643
-booming economy. Thereby, inflation mainly caused by resource boom has its own specific features in terms of impact on economy and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008923044