Showing 1 - 10 of 434
Inflation as a phenomenon has witnessed remarkable changes starting from mid-eighties of the last century. Inflation … pull inflation as one of the major determinants of inflation has decreased due to efficient monetary policies that have … been adopted by central banks all over the world to reduce inflation based on anchoring inflation expectations. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647354
Recent studies have indicated that the terms 'NAIRU' (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) and 'natural … features. This study evaluates comparatively the inflation-forecasting power of alternative time-varying estimates of the … twentieth century. The analysis reveals that the overall inflation-forecasting utility of the natural rate of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835658
Much of the US inflation forecasting literature deals with examining the ability of macroeconomic indicators to predict … the mean of future inflation, and the overwhelming evidence suggests that the macroeconomic indicators provide little or … no predictability. In this paper, we expand the scope of inflation predictability and explore whether macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836192
aggregates on the inflation determination in Chile the last years. We estimate a rational expectations equations system derived … additional information in monetary aggregates -M1A and M2A- to predict inflation that were not contained in lags of output gap. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837077
confirmed at company level, whether it is robust to controlling for inflation expectations and whether it is concentrated among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837208
be verified always that exist equal evolution of their variables or for others words, always that inflation and … form and this just happen when inflation and unemployment rates growing for different directions (in the short-run) and … when inflation rate is growing and unemployment doesn't (in the long-run). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837539
The evolution of the rate of price inflation, (t), and unemployment, u(t), in Japan has been modeled within the … that growing unemployment results in decreasing inflation. A linear and lagged generalized Phillips curve expressed as a … link between inflation, unemployment, and labor force has been also re-estimated and validated by new data. Labor force …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260989
autoregressive model for the inflation rate. By construction, our approach avoids a number of problems related to the GMM estimation … of the NKPC. We estimate the hybrid NKPC with quarterly U.S. data (1955:1-2010:3), and both expected future inflation and … lagged inflation are found important in determining the inflation rate, with the former clearly dominating. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008927063
One of the key drivers for the policy makers is the tie-up between price inflation and unemployment. In relevance to … the economic theories in yester years, Phillips Curve has witnessed negative relationship between inflation and … unemployment in many economies. This has an implication that if government seeks to reduce the unemployment then the inflation goes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369625
and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was used as a driving force of inflation and … estimated with eight new readings obtained since 2004. The rate of CPI inflation is predicted with RMSFE=1.5% per year. For the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109998