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This volume – Predicting Crisis: Five Essays on the Mathematic Prediction of Economic and Social Crises – is the first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260672
. These counties extend the previously analyzed set of the US, UK, Japan, France, Italy, and Canada. Modelling is based on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014716
Keeping in view the importance of economic growth in a country’s development, this study intended to examine the relationship between the government size and other determinants on economic growth using a time series data over the period 1973-2012. To specify the growth equation, we have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113283
The recent global recession requires policy makers to identify the relative importance of shock transmission mechanisms in each region and devise counter policy measures against future idiosyncratic shocks. In the last decade, world dynamics have changed considerably due to increased openness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533255
Globalization and strengthening of integration processes have, among other things, also influenced some solutions relating to monetary sovereignty of particular countries. A great number of transition countries as well as some other underdeveloped countries are facing both inefficiency in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005620044
The evolution of labor force participation rate is modeled using a lagged linear function of real economic growth, as expressed by GDP per capita. For the U.S., our model predicts at a two-year horizon with RMSFE of 0.28% for the period between 1965 and 2007. Larger part of the deviation between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622045
Are financial markets predictable? How to predict the financial markets? These important questions are not answerable in the existing framework of either finance or economics. This paper shows in details that these questions are also not answerable in the existing framework of modern physics. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113488
“Okun’s Law” states a 3:1 proportion between percent growth in U. S. real GNP and percent decrease in the rate of unemployment. This paper argues that this ratio is actually a Pi:1 proportion, heretofore unrecognized because it is displayed through a form of mathematic / harmonic inverse....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260030
In Albers & Albers (Spring, 2013) we demonstrated that the historic development of U.S. real GNP, 1869-present, may be structured in recurring 14-year periods. A steady-state rate of growth of 3.4969% is thereby calculated, generating an increase in real GNP proportional to the famous “Golden...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260122
In the physical world the “identity” of something is taken generally as a given; an apple is an apple; this apple is this apple. When dealing with planetary structure and extension into space, however, the problem of the planet’s “identity” in the surrounding cosmos is writ large. What...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109196