This paper offers an explanation for the forward discount puzzle in foreign exchange markets based upon investor overconfidence. In our model, overconfident individuals overreact to their information about future inflation differential. The spot and the forward exchange rates differentially...

With 10-minute data from Nov 2014 to Jan 2015, a threshold autoregression (TAR) model is estimated to assess the exchange rate differential between onshore and offshore RMB market, and the following result is in order. (i) The threshold effect is verifed during sample period, around 40 bps on...

Authors of the study aimed to analyze the structure and some of the figures of the financial market in Russia. This choice of one side was dictated by proximity to Russia and relatively little knowledge about the financial market of the country, the other huge potential that lies dormant in the...

This text presents a study of various models based on jump processes in the context of foreign exchange (FX) rates modeling. Quality of FX rate log-returns fit is assessed for models such as Merton and Kou jump-diffusions, normal inverse Gaussian, variance gamma, and Meixner. The study is...

In this paper, I give a detailed account of the creation and the evolution of Korea Investment Corporation (KIC) – a sovereign wealth fund established in 2005 by the Korean government. In doing so, I highlight three of its unique features. First, the case of KIC effectively shows the problem...

This paper identifies the best models for forecasting the volatility of daily exchange returns of developing countries. An emerging consensus in the recent literature focusing on industrialised counties has noted the superior performance of the FIGARCH model in the case of industrialised...

Cross-currency basis swap rates that exchange US-dollar (USD) and Japanese-yen (JPY) LIBORs have fluctuated since the late 1990s. It is increasingly important for market participants to figure out such swap rates, but there have not been many empirical studies about actual markets. This study...

This paper investigates the role of oil prices in explaining the dynamics of selected emerging countries exchange rates. Using daily data series, the study concludes that a rise in oil price is leading to a significant appreciation in emerging economies currencies against the US dollar. In our...

The question of whether foreign investments should be systematically hedged against currency risk has not been clearly answered to date. Numerous theoretical and empirical studies have provided contradictory conclusions. This paper examines to what extent foreign bonds and equities are exposed...

This paper considers the embedded dynamics of conditional volatility in five selected exchange rates vis-à-vis Indian Rupee. Specifically, it explores the possible asymmetric response of volatility towards good and bad news and inquires whether it is sensitive to breaks in volatility. Using a...