Showing 1 - 10 of 210
The Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter is a commonly used method, particularly in potential output studies. However its suitability depends on a number of conditions. Very small open economies do not satisfy these as their macroeconomic series exhibit pronounced trends, large fluctuations and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107502
Modern economics assumes that in the long run an economy develops in a balanced way, with full employment of resources and a constant inflation rate. The output level thereby achieved is called „potential output‟. Knowing the extent of the output gap, or the deviation from this equilibrium,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113642
We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623407
We analyze trends in yield growth and yield variability of barley, maize, oats, rye triticale and wheat in Switzerland from 1961 to 2006. In contrast to linear trends in cereal yield growth that are usually assumed for Europe, cereal yields have leveled off due to widespread extensive cereal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790217
The paper discusses the role of stochastic trends in DSGE models and effects of stochastic detrending. We argue that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790380
Risk parity is an allocation method used to build diversified portfolios that does not rely on any assumptions of expected returns, thus placing risk management at the heart of the strategy. This explains why risk parity became a popular investment model after the global financial crisis in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109458
was at it's maximum in 2006:Q3. However, the Taylor hypothesis modified to incorporate persistence in the policy rule can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107274
. Markov Chains test was conducted to check the persistence of profitability among sectors. The findings revealed the absence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107598
This paper examines the behavior of financial markets efficiency during the recent financial market crisis. Using the Hurst exponent as a criterion of market efficiency we show that level of market efficiency is different for pre-crisis and crisis periods. We also classify financial markets of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107740
This paper employs a VAR(1)-GARCH(1,1) model to examine whether there is evidence of asymmetry shocks, persistence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108513