The purpose of this article is to describe how inflation analysis and forecasting has been carried out in the Bank … judgement and a range of formal approaches. The latter include structural models which are strongly influenced by basic …. The emphasis on particular methodologies has evolved over time but in all cases judgement has played a central role. …

In this work we contribute to the formal analysis of the measurement of consensus in a society. Instead of approaching … with respect to which consensus is measured. Surprisingly this produces a powerful unifying model, a restriction of which … is deeply analysed. We also study the axiomatic properties of particular expressions for consensus with various salient …

degree of consensus, heterogeneously distributed across questions. There is some fair amount of consensus on 25% of the 82 …

and consensus. This informs a vignette experiment that elicits moral judgments about real world policy issues while … promotes a kind of consensus among both spectators and stakeholders. I argue that this model can inform descriptive and …

for their four roles: description and object of analysis, tool for analysis and forecasting, tool for communication and …

finance; for such tasks as pattern reorganization, and time series forecasting, have dramatically increased. Many central … banks use forecasting models based on ANN methodology for predicting various macroeconomic indicators, like inflation, GDP … ANN model with conventional univariate time series forecasting models such as AR(1) and ARIMA based models and observed …

forecasting models, from ones classified as “medium-term” to those covering longer forecasting periods. Based on the analysis of …