Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 409
Cover Image
Solution of the Ellsberg paradox by means of the principle of uncertain future
Harin, Alexander - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
The principle of uncertain future: the probability of a future event contains an (hidden) uncertainty. The first … an uniform solution of the underweighting of high and the overweighting of low probabilities, of the Allais paradox, risk … probability system of a future event is incomplete. The second consequence provides a solution of the incompleteness of systems of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835901
Cover Image
Ruptures in the probability scale? Calculation of ruptures’ dimensions
Harin, Alexander - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009
The article raises the question of possible existence of ruptures, gaps in the probability scale which are caused by … standard probability distributions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008587482
Cover Image
A non-zero dispersion leads to the non-zero bias of mean
Harin, Alexander - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
-zero dispersion of the function is proved. The theorem has an applied character. It is aimed to be used in the probability theory and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113980
Cover Image
Theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale
Harin, Alexander - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
A theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proven. The theorem can be used, e.g., in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596366
Cover Image
Theorem of existence of ruptures for mean values on finite numerical segments. Discrete case
Harin, Alexander - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2011
The proof of the theorem of existence of the ruptures, namely the proof of maximality, is improved. The theorem may be used in economics and explain the well-known problems such as Allais’ paradox. Illustrated examples of ruptures are presented.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009403452
Cover Image
Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Discrete case
Harin, Alexander - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
The theorem of existence of the ruptures in the probability scale has been proved for a discrete case. The theorem can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008526960
Cover Image
Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Preliminary short version.
Harin, Alexander - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
and of the probability scale. The theorems can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008574286
Cover Image
Theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale. II.
Harin, Alexander - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
The theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proved. The theorem can be used, e.g., in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577644
Cover Image
General correcting formulae for forecasts
Harin, Alexander - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2014
The concept of unforeseen events is considered as a part of a hypothesis of uncertain future. The applications of the consequences of the hypothesis in utility and prospect theories are reviewed. Partially unforeseen events and their role in forecasting are analyzed. Preliminary preparations are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110243
Cover Image
The theorem of existence of the ruptures in probability scale and the basic question of insurance
Harin, Alexander - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2011
The theorem of existence of the ruptures in the probability scale was proved in 2010. The theorem is used to analyze …, including application of the theorem. Its most significant result: when uncertainty increases, then taking the theorem into … account may reverse insurant’s and insurer’s decisions to the opposite ones. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369617