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as well as perturbed ones (bubbles and kraches). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622019
In this note, we attempt to place the question of how we got to the global financial crisis that began as the US Subprime debacle in the summer of 2007 in the context of an international and historical comparative setting. It is of some poignancy that the “we” here refers to the wealthiest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259756
This paper is the basis for the Guest Columnist article in the Tuesday, November 11, 2008 issue of the Kansas City Star newspaper's Business Weekly. Because of space limitations, the published newspaper column had to be shortened from the original and unfortunately did not include either of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622040
2009 ist eine Diskussion darüber entbrannt, inwieweit die derzeitige Finanzkrise Einfluss auf die mittelfristigen … Zeitreihenmodellen abgeschätzt. Die Ergebnisse deuten darauf hin, dass das Niveau des Produktionspotenzials aufgrund der Finanzkrise … durch eine Stagnation des technischen Fortschritts verursacht wird. Die Auswirkungen der Finanzkrise auf die mittelfristige …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008472806
Approximately two years ago we presented results of price modeling and extensive statistical analysis for share prices of five banks: Bank of America (BAC), Franklin Resources (BEN), Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and Morgan Stanley (MS). Using monthly closing prices (adjusted for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110482
We have studied statistical characteristics of five share price time series. For each stock price, we estimated a best fit quantitative model for the monthly closing price as based on the decomposition into two defining consumer price indices selected from a large set of CPIs. It was found that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113939
It is likely that such a crisis could not be born somewhere else only in the United States. The "current financial disaster" is the fruit of the combination of specific factors in the US, where elements were gathered to catalyse such a crisis, like, someway, some "primal soup" where were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543034
The 2008 financial crisis has its origins in the US real estate market. By means of purchases of US mortgage-backed securities it spread to the portfolios of financial companies everywhere in the world and it is making its way to the real economy. The measures to be taken include cutting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037723
The relationship between the US and Asia will be the single biggest determinant in the evolution of the global economic system. In the absence of adequate reform at the global level, the alternative could be further fragmentation into competing regional blocs. Asia holds the key, combining both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005025699
We detected rational bubbles in 22 emerging stockmarkets using both standard and threshold cointegration. Eighteen … stockmarkets experienced explosive bubbles (and some of them periodically collapsing bubbles as well). The remaining four markets … experienced periodically collapsing bubbles only. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836174