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This paper examines the modelling complications that appear when some macroeconomic behavioral relationships interact with structural variables, even under a given A matrix. The main problem is concretized for the situation when, a) the final consumption, gross fixed capital formation, inventory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258652
This paper examine whether asymmetrics cointegration present in the relationship between barley and crude oil price. The result suggest that an asymmetric cointegration statistically found barley price and oil price are cointegrated and adjustment mechanisms exist in the case between these two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108157
The way in which market participants form expectations affects the dynamic properties of financial asset prices and therefore the appropriateness of different econometric tools used for empirical asset pricing. In addition to standard rational expectations models, this thesis studies a class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109608
The response by regional and national economies to exogenous impulses has a well-established literature in both spatial econometrics and in mainstream econometrics and is of considerable importance given the current economic crisis. This paper focuses on dynamic counterfactual predictions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108201
This paper provides early assessments of current U.S. Nominal GDP growth, which has been considered as a potential new monetary policy target. The nowcasts are computed using the exact amount of information that policy makers have available at the time predictions are made. However, real time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112417
In this paper we characterize the unemployment rate for the main cities of the Bío Bío Region using the state-space multivariate approach, in order to isolate and evaluate their tendency and seasonal components. We present theoretical expressions for each structural model for monthly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005620097
Even though the output and unemployment relation has always been a key theme in applied macroeconometrics research, the global hypothesis of modular short and long run dynamics assuming classic macroeconomic assumptions, is still to become a widely discussed subject in the field, and, therefore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622176
The monetary unit assumption of financial accounting assumes a stable currency (i.e., constant purchasing power over time). Yet, even during periods of low inflation or deflation, nominal financial statements violate this assumption. I posit that, while the effects of inflation are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114513
In this paper we focus on the development of multiple time series models for forecasting Irish Inflation. The Bayesian … performance which can be obtained by the use of Bayesian techniques. In general, however, forecasts of inflation contain a high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835547
properties both from the Bayesian and non–Bayesian perspective. We provide detailed derivations of our prior in many standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259476