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The binary and multinomial logit models are applied for prediction of the Russian banks defaults (license withdrawals) using data from bank balance sheets and macroeconomic indicators. Significantly different models correspond to the two main grounds for license withdrawal: financial insolvency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258099
The Indian banking system was initially thought to be insulated from the global financial crisis owing to heavy public ownership and cautious management. It was thus a surprise when some banks experienced a deposit flight, as depositors shifted their money toward government-owned banks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258159
The current crisis causes numerous economic uncertainties, such as a break-up of the European currency union, and a Greek exit from the euro area to boost the competitiveness by means of devaluation of national currency. When a factor such as exchange rate is expected to have a significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259234
The present paper analyzes two important aspects in the amplification process of the recent financial crisis to the real economy, that is the securitisation of financial assets (and in particular of loans and mortgages) and the growth of bank off-balance sheet activities, for instance through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260670
mechanism depends on a theory which we present as the Hegemonic Stability. The Arabic and Islamic countries did not succeed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147875
The Kosovo’s Financial Sector is one of the newest financial sectors in Eastern Europe whose developments began in early 2000. Kosovo's banking sector consists of 8 privately owned commercial banks, the insurance companies which make up 5% of total financial sector assets by 10 insurance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008728057
Insurance Industry is going through a very important stage of its transformation - the transition from the classical system of management into a risk-based management. These changes were launched in Europe by international organizations which deal with the development of the necessary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008728065
This study discusses the strategic priorities and challenges for securities exchanges in new EU member states, with a special reference to the internationalisation of securities markets. The ways in which exchanges are responding to such challenges and other possible courses of action are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189007
This paper investigates sensitivity of the VaR models when return series of stocks and stock indices are not normally distributed. It also studies the effect of market capitalization of stocks and stock indices on their Value at risk and Conditional VaR estimation. Three different market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109117
We model the systemic risk associated with the so-called balance-sheet amplification mechanism in a system of banks with interlocked balance sheets and with positions in real-economy-related assets. Our modeling framework integrates a stochastic price dynamics with an active balance-sheet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110094