This paper surveys the recent literature on inflation forecasting and conducts an extensive empirical analysis on … forecasting inflation in Singapore, Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong paying particular attention to whether the inflation …-markup theory can help to forecast inflation. We first review the relative performance of different predictors in forecasting h …

I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …

This paper analyzes the performance of central banks in 27 inflation targeting countries by examining their success in … achieving their explicit inflation targets. For this purpose, we decompose the inflation gap, the difference between actual … inflation and inflation target, into predictable and unpredictable components. We argue that the central banks are successful if …

inflation forecasts. A fan chart for Maltese HICP inflation projections is built, using the history of forecast errors. …

banks use forecasting models based on ANN methodology for predicting various macroeconomic indicators, like inflation, GDP … Growth and currency in circulation etc. In this paper, we have attempted to forecast monthly YoY inflation for Pakistan by …

This paper estimates a medium-term forecasting model for the headline inflation of Costa Rica, utilizing disaggregate … of reduction of inflation and stabilized around the Central Bank's inflation target. The result show that the use of … the inertia and the Second-Round effects present on the inflation. …

Potential links between inflation and unemployment in Canada have been examined. No consistent Phillips curve has been … linear links between inflation and unemployment could exist - before 1983 and after 1983. A linear and lagged relationship … between inflation, unemployment and labor force has been obtained for Canada. Similar relationships were reported previously …

Potential links between inflation, (t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Germany have been examined. There exists a … negative relation between inflation and unemployment with the latter leading the former by one year: UE(t-1) = -1.50(t) + 0 ….116. Effectively, growing unemployment has resulted in decreasing inflation since 1971, i.e. for the period where GDP deflator …

banks use forecasting models based on ANN methodology for predicting various macroeconomic indicators, like inflation, GDP … Growth and currency in circulation etc. In this paper, we have attempted to forecast monthly YoY inflation for Pakistan by …