Much of the US inflation forecasting literature deals with examining the ability of macroeconomic indicators to predict … the mean of future inflation, and the overwhelming evidence suggests that the macroeconomic indicators provide little or … no predictability. In this paper, we expand the scope of inflation predictability and explore whether macroeconomic …

This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …

Potential links between inflation, (t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Germany have been examined. There exists a … negative relation between inflation and unemployment with the latter leading the former by one year: UE(t-1) = -1.50(t) + 0 ….116. Effectively, growing unemployment has resulted in decreasing inflation since 1971, i.e. for the period where GDP deflator …

This paper contributes to the vast literature on the predictive power of term structure about future inflation, by … important determinant of the relationship between term structure and inflation to the extent that even the existence of the … with the beginning of the implementation of an inflation targeting (IT) regime. While, before IT regime, the information in …

confirmed at company level, whether it is robust to controlling for inflation expectations and whether it is concentrated among …

particular, technical estimation models of spatial-dynamic panel that provide opportunities to consider the effects of … neighborhood and unobserved heterogeneity of countries of the region to analyze the effects of Policy mix on inflation, the output … mechanism of propagation of shocks affecting the level of inflation and a mecanisme for output stabilization. …

In this paper, we study some empirical issues in the estimation of a New-Keynesian Phillips curve for Tunisia. In this … the sensitivity of the Phillips curve estimation to some empirical speci�cations. It includes the measures to be used for … the output gap variable, as well as the implementation of the generalized method of moments for the estimation of this …

to their increase, an unanticipated hike in policy rate has no impact on them. The impact on inflation is also symmetric … neutral to components of aggregate demand and, thus, on inflation, ranging from 6.25 per cent to 7.0 per cent. …

Studies on Malaysia monetary policy mostly examine the effect of monetary policy change on output and inflation in … study on the effect of policy change on disaggregated inflation. This paper attempts to examine the later issue by employing … index, we find that a modest monetary policy shock results in varying degree of responses in disaggregated inflation. In …