Showing 1 - 10 of 1,756
some macroeconomic variables such as exchange rate, inflation and interest rate in Nigeria using Autoregressive Distributed … effective and efficient policy control measure should be develop and implement to normalize exchange rate, inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260363
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
This document analyzes different measures of international inflation and their influence on the domestic inflation. We … found that these measurements have a statistical significant effect on the behavior of domestic inflation. Therefore the … evolution of the international inflation must be considered when assessing the inflation target stated by monetary authority …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109234
remain valid for sample sizes of practical interest. We illustrate its performance by studying inflation rate series, a … variable that should be stationary if the monetary authority follows an effective inflation targeting regime: shocks are short …-lived, therefore, inflation fluc- tuates randomly around pre-specified targets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111336
This paper explores relative price convergence for 18 cities in Turkey. The convergence implies stationarity in the long run. Henceforth, to observe whether price convergence occurs or not, this study conducts unit root tests following Lee and Strazicich (2003) with two structural breaks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113623
This paper surveys the recent literature on inflation forecasting and conducts an extensive empirical analysis on … forecasting inflation in Singapore, Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong paying particular attention to whether the inflation …-markup theory can help to forecast inflation. We first review the relative performance of different predictors in forecasting h …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650016
The concept of NAIRU summarized the observed negative correlation between the unemployment rate and the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112751
developed an integral technique similar to CUSUM using an empirical model quantitatively linking the rate of inflation and … uncorrelated noise and systematic errors. Our previous model of inflation and unemployment in Canada is enhanced by the … introduction of inflation targeting as a new monetary policy in 1991 resulted in a structural break manifested in a lowered rate of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008927057