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, many types of instruments can be used:futures market,spot market, and forward market.However, the degree of volatility … monthly to daily observations on exchange rates. Thus the basic thrust of the paper is to analyse the forecasting accuracy of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619306
The purpose of this note is three folds. First, we review Levy processes and analyse jumps. Second, we correct mistakes … forecast the future prices of these assets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113340
has contributed to lower volatility in the G$/US exchange rate. The paper also presents a model that analyzes monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110737
Typical data sets employed by economists and financial analysts do not exceed a few hundred or thousand observations per series. However, in the last decade data sets containing tick-by-tick observations have become available. The studies of these data have turned up new and interesting facts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623359
In focusing on the 24 month window prior to the onset of the crisis, the criteria for ranking the indicators presented in our related work does not distinguish between a signal given 12 months prior to the crisis and one given one month prior to the crisis. In what follows we examine this issue,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531924
Using two measures of private information and high-frequency transaction data from the leading interdealer electronic broking system Reuters D2000-2, we examine the association between exchange rate return and contemporaneous order flow and the predictability power of lagged order flow on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114525
the forecasting regression. We also present less formal evidence that, with real-time data, the Taylor rule provides a … specifications that do not include the real exchange rate in the forecasting regression, the results are robust to whether or not the … the forecasting regression. Bad news about inflation and good news about real economic activity both lead to out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789851
models to measure and forecast stock returns. This paper aims to model the volatility for daily and weekly returns of the … compare the forecasting performance of the various volatility models in the sample periods before and after the terrorist …The volatility clustering often seen in financial data has increased the interest of researchers in applying good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790340
$. The variable of interest is the daily number of such durations, which is a measure of intradaily volatility, since the … of this measure of volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260271
-of-sample forecasting. We find that the random walk performs better than the restricted model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005620179