Zusammenfassung: Es gibt eine wachsende Literatur zur "verhaltensorientierten" bzw. "psychologischen" Spieltheorie. Die meisten dieser Ansätze beziehen verschiedene Vorstellungen von Fairness, Ungleichheitsaversion oder andere intrinsische Motive in die Nutzenfunktion ein, um empirisch...

Empirical studies show that agents often violate Bayes' rule in updating probability expectations. This paper deals with errors in combining observations with prior knowledge. Such errors neccessarily occur when agents have limited information-processing capacities. It is shown that rational...

There is robust experimental evidence that in the ultimatum game real players often prefer a fair allocation which seems to be in contrast to rational decision making. In this paper rational maximizing behavior as well as norm-guided fair behavior are two possible behavioral rules. It is argued...

In this paper, we use survey data to analyze the accuracy, unbiasedness, and the efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts. We analyze a large panel of individual forecasts that has not been analyzed in the literature so far. We provide evidence on the properties of forecasts for all G7...