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Governments face growing contingent liabilities from disasters as they tend to shoulder a significant share of disaster response and recovery costs. Disaster shocks increase government expenditure and hamper economic activities. An increasing number of countries are developing financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012646437
The objective of this study is to help assess the possible vulnerabilities in a number of Central European countries as they proceed with global financial integration and EU accession. The report focuses on those countries slated to be the first in the region to join the EU, the Czech Republic,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005639085
After a strong start in early 2022, the largest COVID-19 wave in two years and resulting mobility restrictions have disrupted China's growth normalization. The global environment has also significantly worsened following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013413860
Over the period 2019-21, Albania had to confront dual shocks: the 2019 earthquake and the COVID-19 pandemic. Both had sizable impacts on the country's economy. The COVID-19 pandemic took a heavy toll on an economy already affected by the earthquake in 2019. Key sectors were put in lockdown in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013414016
present value (PV) of external debt to exports exceeds its threshold in the case of an extreme shock to exports.1 With regard … GDP shock scenario. Other factors motivating the overall rating include: the past evolution of domestic debt, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012646558
With some 19 million US Dollars (1.6 percent of GDP) in unresolved arrears to official bilateral creditors, Grenada remains in external public debt distress. However, debt appears sustainable reflecting favorable projected debt dynamics from substantial fiscal surpluses that are supported by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012646559
An updated joint assessment of Rwanda's debt sustainability suggests continued low risk of external debt distress. External debt burden indicators remain below risk thresholds, except for a short and temporary breach of debt service indicators in 2023, when the Eurobond issued in 2013 matures....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012646561
Togo's risk of external debt distress continues to be moderate, while the overall risk of debt distress is high-unchanged from the previous Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) published in December 2018. While the mechanical results point to a low risk of external debt distress, judgment was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012646562
natural disaster shock, reflecting Vanuatu's vulnerability to disasters, would cause the present value (PV) of public and …. Moreover, a tailored natural disaster shock would lead to a significant deterioration in debt sustainability, breaching the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012646563
Niger's risk of external and overall public debt distress is rated "moderate" as in the previous DSA. While all thresholds are observed in the baseline, the PV of PPG external debt-to-exports ratio breaches its threshold under stress test scenarios. Debt-carrying capacity continues to be rated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012646564