Showing 1 - 10 of 79
multi-factor modelling instead of augmented CAPM, application of moving window panel regressions, orthogonalization of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005097722
import-driven convergence and no robust difference between imports of intermediate and investment goods. Accordingly, trade … helps emerging economies follow a 'green growth' path, and trade-related policies can enhance this path. However, the … effects are economically small and require a long time horizon to become effective. Trade-related policies can become much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010985637
We hypothesize that North-South trade is associated with knowledge spillovers that create labor productivity gains … provides bilateral and bisectoral panel data for 39 countries and 35 sectors for 1995-2009. We examine growth in relative South … the South-North gap in labor intensities within a couple of decades if it were solely achieved through the trade channel. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010985713
This paper provides novel evidence on exchange rate expectations of both chartists and fundamentalists separately. These groups indeed form expectations differently. Chartists change their expectations more often; however, all professionals' expectations vary considerably as they generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957734
This paper analyses Greek fiscal sustainability from a retrospective and a prospective view. Implications of Greek fiscal (un)sustainability are discussed. In the empirical analysis econometric testing of Greek government solvency during the period 1985-2008 is combined with a scenario analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646607
or longer. We find from a large panel of individual professionals' forecasts that good exchange rate forecasts benefit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369493
Do financial market analysts use structural economic models when forecasting exchange rates? This is the leading question analysed in this paper. In contrast to other studies we use expectations data instead of observable variables. Therefore we analyse the implicit structural models forecasters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005097530
consideration, the impact of the exchange rate regime and a number of other variables on primary deficits is analysed in a panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005097639
current trade balance variables of corresponding economies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005097657
China or Japan, has no predictable effect on its trade surplus. Currency appreciation by the creditor country will slow its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005097704