Kroencke, Tim A.; Schindler, Felix; Sebastian, Steffen; … - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) - 2013
The components of GDP (residential investment, durables, nondurables, equipment and software, and business structures) display a pronounced lead-lag structure. We investigate the implications of this lead-lag structure for the cross-section of asset returns. We find that the leading GDP...