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We apply the formalism of the continuous time random walk to the study of financial data. The entire distribution of prices can be obtained once two auxiliary densities are known. These are the probability densities for the pausing time between successive jumps and the corresponding probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005098567
We study financial distributions within the framework of the continuous time random walk (CTRW). We review earlier approaches and present new results related to overnight effects as well as the generalization of the formalism which embodies a non-Markovian formulation of the CTRW aimed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005099203
High frequency data in finance have led to a deeper understanding on probability distributions of market prices. Several facts seem to be well stablished by empirical evidence. Specifically, probability distributions have the following properties: (i) They are not Gaussian and their center is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084023
The analysis which assumes that tick by tick data is linear may lead to wrong conclusions if the underlying process is multiplicative. We compare data analysis done with the return and stock differences and we study the limits within the two approaches are equivalent. Some illustrative examples...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084377
An intense research on financial market microstructure is presently in progress. Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are general models capable to capture the small-scale properties that high frequency data series show. The use of CTRW models in the analysis of financial problems is quite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005098537
The electricity market is a very peculiar market due to the large variety of phenomena that can affect the spot price. However, this market still shows many typical features of other speculative (commodity) markets like, for instance, data clustering and mean reversion. We apply the diffusion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005098541
We apply the theory of continuous time random walks to study some aspects of the extreme value problem applied to financial time series. We focus our attention on extreme times, specifically the mean exit time and the mean first-passage time. We set the general equations for these extremes and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005098544
We study theoretical and empirical aspects of the mean exit time of financial time series. The theoretical modeling is done within the framework of continuous time random walk. We empirically verify that the mean exit time follows a quadratic scaling law and it has associated a pre-factor which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005099160
We study the activity, i.e., the number of transactions per unit time, of financial markets. Using the diffusion entropy technique we show that the autocorrelation of the activity is caused by the presence of peaks whose time distances are distributed following an asymptotic power law which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005099205
For environmental problems such as global warming future costs must be balanced against present costs. This is traditionally done using an exponential function with a constant discount rate, which reduces the present value of future costs. The result is highly sensitive to the choice of discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010711565