Showing 1 - 10 of 64
This paper examines whether the clarity of central bank communication about inflation has changed with the economic … environment. We use readability statistics and content analysis to study the clarity of communication on the inflation outlook by … explaining their policies when faced with higher uncertainty or a less favorable inflation outlook. The global financial crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009393909
of inflation risks. The empirical application shows that trading off monetary and macroprudential policy reduces the … overall costs related to inflation and financial instability. This can be achieved by changing the preferences of the central … bank, lengthening the monetary policy horizon and by a more flexible inflation target. Estimation results of a probit model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468098
In this study we build two forecasting models to predict inflation for the Netherlands and for the euro area. Inflation … hourly wage rate and the import prices. The model for the Netherlands is used to generate Dutch inflation forecasts over an … horizon of 11-15 months ahead for the Narrow Inflation Projection Exercise (NIPE). NIPE-forecasts have been generated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005021864
This paper examines robust estimators of core inflation for Belgian historical CPI data, and for euro area Harmonised … outperform the traditional core inflation measures found in the literature. However, as traditional measures, they lag rather … than lead observed inflation. This was particularly so in the 70s and the 80s when the oil price shocks had substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970717
, Germany and Italy for the period 1991.3-2004.4. Instead of imposing rational expectations, I use direct measures of inflation … lagged inflation, I find that only in France lagged inflation does not have explanatory power beyond predicting expected … inflation. This suggests that only in France the standard forward-looking NKPC effectively captures quarterly inflation dynamics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101810
+ respondents could correctly answer two simple questions regarding interest compounding and inflation, and only one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101811
This study explores whether the NAIRU is a useful indicator of prospects for inflation in the Netherlands. Apart from …, for short horizons (two years or less) inflation forecasts turn out to be quite invariant to changes in the level of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101873
In this paper we discuss whether the introduction of the euro may cause price changes. Besides a critical survey of the theoretical arguments supporting price effects, we discuss the empirical evidence on price effects obtained from comparable events. Neither the theoretical arguments nor the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101875
The relationship between monetary indicators and inflation is ussually assumed to be linear, implying that looser … monetary conditions always signal an increase in in.ation. Recently, money growth in the euro area surged while inflation … regression model to verify the claim that the impact of monetary indicators on future inflation varies conditional on stock price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101927
In this study we build two forecasting models to predict inflation for the Netherlands and for the euro area. Inflation … wage rate and the import or producer prices. The model for the Netherlands is used to generate the Dutch inflation … projections over an horizon of 11-15 months ahead for the eurosystem's Narrow Inflation Projection Exercise (NIPE). The recursive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101948