Besides the theoretical (Alchian/Klein, 1973) case for including asset prices in measures of inflation, there is also a … practical case, that some asset prices, notably housing, are closely associated with the main trends in inflation, and via …

, Germany and Italy for the period 1991.3-2004.4. Instead of imposing rational expectations, I use direct measures of inflation … lagged inflation, I find that only in France lagged inflation does not have explanatory power beyond predicting expected … inflation. This suggests that only in France the standard forward-looking NKPC effectively captures quarterly inflation dynamics. …

This study explores whether the NAIRU is a useful indicator of prospects for inflation in the Netherlands. Apart from …, for short horizons (two years or less) inflation forecasts turn out to be quite invariant to changes in the level of the …

national output gaps constructed turn out to significantly explain future changes in inflation. Moreover, the analysis also … reveals that an aggregate European output gap significantly precedes aggregate European inflation, as well as inflation in the … individual EU countries. These findings imply that an aggregate European output gap may serve as an inflation indicator for the …

Applying the concept of underlying inflation can be thought of as an attempt to capture the general trend in inflation … more accurately than with readily available data on headline inflation. In this paper a number of approaches to the … analysis of underlying inflation are examined from a unifying standpoint, stressing their complementary nature, and empirical …

explicitly target asset prices directly or through the inclusion of asset prices in its measure of inflation, counterfactual …

essential to quantifying the level of inflation corresponding to any given unemployment rate. Next, we point out that the EMU … aggregation hypothesis. This implies that the level of inflation is now lower for any given level of unemployment, which eases the …

In this study we build two forecasting models to predict inflation for the Netherlands and for the euro area. Inflation … hourly wage rate and the import prices. The model for the Netherlands is used to generate Dutch inflation forecasts over an … horizon of 11-15 months ahead for the Narrow Inflation Projection Exercise (NIPE). NIPE-forecasts have been generated …

This paper examines whether the clarity of central bank communication about inflation has changed with the economic … environment. We use readability statistics and content analysis to study the clarity of communication on the inflation outlook by … explaining their policies when faced with higher uncertainty or a less favorable inflation outlook. The global financial crisis …

of inflation risks. The empirical application shows that trading off monetary and macroprudential policy reduces the … overall costs related to inflation and financial instability. This can be achieved by changing the preferences of the central … bank, lengthening the monetary policy horizon and by a more flexible inflation target. Estimation results of a probit model …