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We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008475753
By proposing a measure for cross-market rebalancing effects, we provide new insights into the different sources of currency crises. We address three interrelated questions: (i) How can we best capture contagion; (ii) Is the contagion of currency crisis a regional or global phenomenon?; and (iii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101790
In this paper, we analyze the business cycle behavior of home mortgages and consumer credit and investigate whether the observed changes. and in particular observed changes in the comovement between the loan variables and real activity. are likely to be caused by changes in financial markets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005021820
We present the application of network theory to the Dutch payment system with specific attention to systemic stability. The network nodes comprise of domestic banks, large international banks and TARGET countries, the links are established by payments between the nodes. Traditional measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005030216
This paper discusses the valuation of wage-indexed pension fund liabilities. Valuation by replication with market instruments is typically not possible as there are no wage-indexed assets. This paper discusses several methods to find a value in such incomplete markets and advocates utility-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101856
incorporates behavioural considerations into rational models, and the literature that concentrates on the role of prospect theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101938
This paper surveys the behavioural finance explanation of six puzzles of finance. These puzzles are: stock price under- and overreactions, excessive trading and the gender puzzle, financial hypes and panic, the equity premium puzzle, the winner/loser puzzle and the dividend puzzle. After an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106761
This paper tests for the transmission of the 2007-2010 financial and sovereign debt crises to fifteen EMU countries. We use daily data from 2003 to 2010 on country financial and non-financial stock market indexes. First, we find strong evidence of crisis transmission to European non-financials...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008860749
In this paper, a new method is introduced to predict currency crises. The method models a continuous crisis index, based on depreciations and reserve losses. The fact that during currency crises, the behaviour of market participants differs from normal circumstances is modelled by means of model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005030240
new explanation for the UIP-puzzle maintaining rational expectations and risk neutrality. The model builds on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101817