Showing 1 - 10 of 34
-term forecasting performance. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009366263
We conduct a systematic comparison of the short-term forecasting abilities of eleven statistical models and … factors is a more promising forecasting strategy than averaging a large number of indicator-based forecasts. The dynamic and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010601717
Did ICT firms behave very differently from non-ICT firms during the global ICT boom-bust cycle on the stock markets? To answer this question we analyze the financial behavior of a sample of North-American and Western European firms during 1991-2002. We document that ICT firms are indeed what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005021849
A new and extensive panel of outward foreign direct investment (FDI) at the sector level is used to estimate the determinants of non-resource and resource FDI. Since FDI is I(1), we estimate panel errorcorrection models of FDI with spatial lags for FDI and market potential. Our main result is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008752199
We document how firm-specific volatility in sales, earnings and employment growth evolved year by year in Japan. Our volatility measure also indicates the evolution of firm turnover. We find that patterns in firm-specific volatility have changed when macroeconomic circumstances have. Firm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010757291
This paper considers empirical tests for the contagion of financial crises that address the endogeneity of contagion by using instrumental variable estimation techniques. Two complications in the application to contagion are that the regression model is potentially incoherent and that it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101809
In this paper we investigate the impact of the balance between debt and equity finance on the financial stability of developing countries. Employing extreme bounds analysis to deal with model uncertainty, we estimate a model of an exchange rate pressure index depending on various financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101820
In this paper we discuss tests for residual cross section dependence in nonlinear panel data models. The tests are based on average pair-wise residual correlation coefficients. In nonlinear models, the definition of the residual is ambiguous and we consider two approaches: deviations of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101822
This paper focuses on the financing of banking supervision. Countries are classified according to who finances banking supervision the tax payer and/or the supervised industry -, and how the budget and fees are determined. We show that funding regimes differ across countries. Public funding is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101845
Macro stress-testing has become an important tool to assess financial stability. This paper describes a tool kit for scenario analysis and macro stress-testing. It is based on a model which maps multivariate scenarios to banks' credit and interest rate risks by deterministic and stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101857