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inflation, how well they might be anchored in the long run, and at what level. This methodology allows us then to identify a … for credibility. We apply this methodology to the US history of inflation since 1963 and examine how well our measure … inflation scares. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005021831
This paper examines whether the clarity of central bank communication about inflation has changed with the economic … environment. We use readability statistics and content analysis to study the clarity of communication on the inflation outlook by … explaining their policies when faced with higher uncertainty or a less favorable inflation outlook. The global financial crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009393909
This paper examines robust estimators of core inflation for Belgian historical CPI data, and for euro area Harmonised … outperform the traditional core inflation measures found in the literature. However, as traditional measures, they lag rather … than lead observed inflation. This was particularly so in the 70s and the 80s when the oil price shocks had substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970717
of inflation risks. The empirical application shows that trading off monetary and macroprudential policy reduces the … overall costs related to inflation and financial instability. This can be achieved by changing the preferences of the central … bank, lengthening the monetary policy horizon and by a more flexible inflation target. Estimation results of a probit model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468098
prices thereafter. Notwithstanding clear evidence of forward-lookingness, inflation persistence is substantial in both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106636
We find that regional inflation dispersion has not markedly increased since the start of EMU, although it is somewhat … higher than in other monetary unions (US and Germany), and that the distribution of member states' rates of inflation around … the euro area HICP inflation rate is characterised by a few outliers. In addition, an analysis based on economic weights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106750
Recently, it has often been argued that globalization eases the job of central banks as it helps to tame inflation …-Treaty) could or should reduce their efforts in the fight against inflation in favour of supporting the general economic policies of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106786
We provide new insights on the formation of inflation expectations - in particular at a time of great financial and … answered a weekly questionnaire about their short-, medium- and long-term inflation expectations. Participants received common … information sets with data relevant to euro area inflation. Our analysis of survey responses reveals several interesting results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861749
Using the model by Morris and Shin (2002), we distinguish between how people perceive a state and how they act upon it. We show than even for perceptions, where the coordination motive plays no role, improving the quality of public information does not always reduce the forecasting error. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009018571
monetary policy that sets the interest rate more than point for point in response to inflation stabilizes inflation in our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144151