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The current account imbalances that are at the heart of the European sovereign debt crisis are often attributed to differences in price competitiveness. However, recent research suggests that domestic demand booms related to the financial cycle may have been more important. As this would have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945597
constructed gravity-based contagion index to assess the importance of these factors in the run-up to currency crises. Using a … risk of a crisis for EMEs. Third, contagion has a very strong impact, consistent with the past literature, especially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010757284
Business cycle synchronization is an important condition for a currency union to be successful. Frankel and Rose (1998) showed empirically that increased trade would have a positive impact on business cycle correlation while acknowledging the theoretical ambiguity on the relationship. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010757278
Foreign subsidiaries account for a significant part of output in many industrialised countries. Compared to international trade relations, however, relatively little is known about the role foreign direct investment linkages play in the transmission of disturbances from one country to the next....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106749
Foreign subsidiaries account for a significant part of output in many industrialised countries. However, compared to international trade, relatively little is known about the role of foreign direct investment (FDI) and multinational firm behaviour in the transmission of disturbances from one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005030237
Using an event study approach, we examine the impact of news about Greece and news about a Greek bailout on bank stock prices in 2010 using data for 48 banks included in the European stress tests. We identify the twenty days with extreme returns on Greek sovereign bonds and categorize the news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493319
depositors know that there are economic linkages between banks. The contagion of withdrawals is by a change in beliefs about bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010757292
We present a new method to examine financial contagion, defined as a sudden strengthening of shock transmission between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963328
currency crises. We address three interrelated questions: (i) How can we best capture contagion; (ii) Is the contagion of … measure, we test for contagion and conclude that contagion only exists regionally. Furthermore, we construct a â …€œcross-market rebalancing variable based on the regional CPJF. By employing a probit model to compare our new variable with a regular contagion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101790
This paper considers empirical tests for the contagion of financial crises that address the endogeneity of contagion by … using instrumental variable estimation techniques. Two complications in the application to contagion are that the regression … model is potentially incoherent and that it contains a parameter that is not identified under the null of no contagion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101809