Showing 1 - 10 of 49
This paper examines robust estimators of core inflation for Belgian historical CPI data, and for euro area Harmonised … outperform the traditional core inflation measures found in the literature. However, as traditional measures, they lag rather … than lead observed inflation. This was particularly so in the 70s and the 80s when the oil price shocks had substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970717
of inflation risks. The empirical application shows that trading off monetary and macroprudential policy reduces the … overall costs related to inflation and financial instability. This can be achieved by changing the preferences of the central … bank, lengthening the monetary policy horizon and by a more flexible inflation target. Estimation results of a probit model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468098
, Germany and Italy for the period 1991.3-2004.4. Instead of imposing rational expectations, I use direct measures of inflation … lagged inflation, I find that only in France lagged inflation does not have explanatory power beyond predicting expected … inflation. This suggests that only in France the standard forward-looking NKPC effectively captures quarterly inflation dynamics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101810
The relationship between monetary indicators and inflation is ussually assumed to be linear, implying that looser … monetary conditions always signal an increase in in.ation. Recently, money growth in the euro area surged while inflation … regression model to verify the claim that the impact of monetary indicators on future inflation varies conditional on stock price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101927
Following the Maastricht criteria, a country seeking to join the European Monetary Union cannot have an inflation rate … in excess of 1.5 percent plus the average inflation rates in the three 'best performing' EU countries. This inflation … simulations show that the expansion of the EU from 15 to 27 members reduces the expected inflation reference value by 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005053800
prices thereafter. Notwithstanding clear evidence of forward-lookingness, inflation persistence is substantial in both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106636
The harmonized index of consumer prices allows for inflation comparisons between European countries. This report shows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106707
We find that regional inflation dispersion has not markedly increased since the start of EMU, although it is somewhat … higher than in other monetary unions (US and Germany), and that the distribution of member states' rates of inflation around … the euro area HICP inflation rate is characterised by a few outliers. In addition, an analysis based on economic weights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106750
We analyze the effect of the business cycle on price dispersion in Europe . Five decades of price level dispersion data for Europe enable us to distinguish short-term influences from long-term influences like market integration. We find that at the business cycle frequency, price dispersion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861748
We provide new insights on the formation of inflation expectations - in particular at a time of great financial and … answered a weekly questionnaire about their short-, medium- and long-term inflation expectations. Participants received common … information sets with data relevant to euro area inflation. Our analysis of survey responses reveals several interesting results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861749