Showing 1 - 10 of 143
This paper examines robust estimators of core inflation for Belgian historical CPI data, and for euro area Harmonised … outperform the traditional core inflation measures found in the literature. However, as traditional measures, they lag rather … than lead observed inflation. This was particularly so in the 70s and the 80s when the oil price shocks had substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970717
The headline inflation rate is subject to unpredictable, temporary, sector-specific shocks. Therefore, various measures … of core inflation have been proposed to isolate the underlying or permanent inflation component. In this paper, a number … euro area and the Netherlands. It turns out that none of the measures meets all the criteria. Core inflation measures can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101931
This paper assesses the performance of core inflation measures based on the structural VAR approach. Since core or … monetary inflation is not directly observable, we develop a monetary general equilibrium model that fits real aggregated … European data and use this model to generate time series for headline as well as core inflation. For five different schemes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005021897
This paper assesses the performance of core inflation measures based on the structural VAR approach. Since core or … monetary inflation is not directly observable, we develop a monetary general equilibrium model that fits real aggregated … European data and use this model to generate time series for headline as well as core inflation. For five different schemes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101901
We provide new insights on the formation of inflation expectations - in particular at a time of great financial and … answered a weekly questionnaire about their short-, medium- and long-term inflation expectations. Participants received common … information sets with data relevant to euro area inflation. Our analysis of survey responses reveals several interesting results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861749
of inflation risks. The empirical application shows that trading off monetary and macroprudential policy reduces the … overall costs related to inflation and financial instability. This can be achieved by changing the preferences of the central … bank, lengthening the monetary policy horizon and by a more flexible inflation target. Estimation results of a probit model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468098
prices thereafter. Notwithstanding clear evidence of forward-lookingness, inflation persistence is substantial in both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106636
We find that regional inflation dispersion has not markedly increased since the start of EMU, although it is somewhat … higher than in other monetary unions (US and Germany), and that the distribution of member states' rates of inflation around … the euro area HICP inflation rate is characterised by a few outliers. In addition, an analysis based on economic weights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106750
We empirically investigate how well different learning rules manage to explain the formation of household inflation … in replicating inflation expectation data but also in forecasting actual inflation rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272316
Although some authors have suggested that monetary expansion is still possible when the monetary policy interest rate cannot be reduced further, central banks tend to avoid interest rates close to the zero lower bound. Taking into account central banks.aversion to very low interest rates, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005021839