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of inflation risks. The empirical application shows that trading off monetary and macroprudential policy reduces the … overall costs related to inflation and financial instability. This can be achieved by changing the preferences of the central … bank, lengthening the monetary policy horizon and by a more flexible inflation target. Estimation results of a probit model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468098
This paper examines robust estimators of core inflation for Belgian historical CPI data, and for euro area Harmonised … outperform the traditional core inflation measures found in the literature. However, as traditional measures, they lag rather … than lead observed inflation. This was particularly so in the 70s and the 80s when the oil price shocks had substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970717
, Germany and Italy for the period 1991.3-2004.4. Instead of imposing rational expectations, I use direct measures of inflation … lagged inflation, I find that only in France lagged inflation does not have explanatory power beyond predicting expected … inflation. This suggests that only in France the standard forward-looking NKPC effectively captures quarterly inflation dynamics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101810
The relationship between monetary indicators and inflation is ussually assumed to be linear, implying that looser … monetary conditions always signal an increase in in.ation. Recently, money growth in the euro area surged while inflation … regression model to verify the claim that the impact of monetary indicators on future inflation varies conditional on stock price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101927
prices thereafter. Notwithstanding clear evidence of forward-lookingness, inflation persistence is substantial in both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106636
The harmonized index of consumer prices allows for inflation comparisons between European countries. This report shows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106707
We find that regional inflation dispersion has not markedly increased since the start of EMU, although it is somewhat … higher than in other monetary unions (US and Germany), and that the distribution of member states' rates of inflation around … the euro area HICP inflation rate is characterised by a few outliers. In addition, an analysis based on economic weights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106750
Following the Maastricht criteria, a country seeking to join the European Monetary Union cannot have an inflation rate … in excess of 1.5 percent plus the average inflation rates in the three 'best performing' EU countries. This inflation … simulations show that the expansion of the EU from 15 to 27 members reduces the expected inflation reference value by 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005053800
We investigate whether the anchoring properties of long-run inflation expectations in the United States, the euro area … economies, expectations measures extracted from inflation-indexed bonds and inflation swaps became much more volatile in 2007 …. Moreover, their sensitivity to news about inflation and other domestic macroeconomic variables a measure of anchoring increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008482047
In their seminal paper, Morris and Shin (2002a) argued that increasing the precision of public information is not always bene.cial to social welfare. Svensson (2005) however has disputed this by saying that although feasible, the conditions for which this was true, were not at all that likely....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101803