Showing 1 - 10 of 149
bank, lengthening the monetary policy horizon and by a more flexible inflation target. Estimation results of a probit model … of inflation risks. The empirical application shows that trading off monetary and macroprudential policy reduces the … overall costs related to inflation and financial instability. This can be achieved by changing the preferences of the central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468098
We analyse the relationship between tail risk and crisis measures by governments and the central bank. Using an adjusted Merton model in a game theoretical set-up, the analysis shows that the participation constraint for interventions by the central bank and the governments is less binding if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583805
This paper shows that a rate hike has countervailing effects on banks' risk appetite. It reduces risk when the debt burden of the banking sector is modest. We model a regulator whose trade-off between bank risk and credit supply is derived from a welfare function. We show that the regulator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008774017
Empirical fiscal policy reaction functions based on ex post data cannot be said to describe fiscal policymakers intentions, since they utilise data which did not exist when their decisions were made. A characterisation of what fiscal policymakers were trying to do requires real time data. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005021848
This paper evaluates the cyclicality, inertia and effect of EU accession on fiscal policy in Central and Eastern Europe using a real time dataset. Budget balances are found to react in a stabilising way to economic activity, and they are less inert than is typically found in Western Europe....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963329
This paper analyses the problem faced by CEECs wishing to join the Euro who must hit both an inflation and exchange … rate criterion during a period of nominal convergence. This process requires either an inflation differential, an … rate and inflation criteria. The authorities can use their monetary policy to hit one criterion, but must essentially just …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101833
-specific inflation-output relationships are found sufficient to undermine synchronisation in their business cycle under EMU, labour …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101869
This paper examines the interaction of real exchange rates and current account movements in open economies subject to monopolistic competition with sticky price-setting behavior and distortionary taxes. We find that the correlations between fiscal balances and the current account depend on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106657
This paper examines whether the clarity of central bank communication about inflation has changed with the economic … environment. We use readability statistics and content analysis to study the clarity of communication on the inflation outlook by … explaining their policies when faced with higher uncertainty or a less favorable inflation outlook. The global financial crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009393909
This paper examines robust estimators of core inflation for Belgian historical CPI data, and for euro area Harmonised … outperform the traditional core inflation measures found in the literature. However, as traditional measures, they lag rather … than lead observed inflation. This was particularly so in the 70s and the 80s when the oil price shocks had substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970717