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This paper defines business and growth rate cycles and describes the importance of key coincident indicators and reference chronologies, following reflections on the definition of a recession. The robustness of turning point forecasts based on the indicator approach to business and growth rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323769
This paper examines various measures of synchronization of recessions, including clustering of the onset of recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642442