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In this study, we evaluate whether survey-based indicators produce lower forecast errorsfor export growth than … expectations. However, largecountry differences in the forecast accuracy of survey-based indicators emerge. Thesedifferences are …. For hard indicators, we find only weak evidence for the export composition toexplain differences in forecast accuracy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011198482
Im Mittelpunkt der Arbeit steht die theoretische und empirische Analyse von Angebot und Nachfrage auf den Im- und Exportmärkten. Sie ist mit dem Ziel verknüpft, die Reagibilität von Preisen und Mengen im Außenhandel in Bezug auf Änderungen des realen Wechselkurses und der wirtschaftlichen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008791347
The world economy in the last two decades is clearly marked by the integration of emerging countries in the international division of labor. To better understand the “globalization” effect, it is helpful to analyze the pattern and structure of world trade volume in the past, in order to draw...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046798
We use an augmented gravity model to revisit the effect of similarity in income distributionson bilateral trade flows. Disentangling supply-side and demand-side mechanisms,we document a robust new regularity: while differences in average incomes betweentwo countries increase trade, differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877601
Das ifo Institut hat im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums für Wirtschaft und Technologie die vorliegende Evaluierungsstudie zu den Dimensionen und Auswirkungen eines Freihandelsabkommen zwischen der EU und den USA durchgeführt. Die Studie zeigt, dass ein tiefgreifendes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877603
This volume was prepared by Benedikt Heid while he was working at the ifo Institute and the University of Bayreuth. It was completed in December 2013 and accepted as a doctoral thesis by the Department of Economics at the Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München. It includes six self-contained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255232
Recent literature finds that exporters are particularly vulnerable to financial market frictions.As a consequence, exports may be lower than their efficient levels. For this reason,many countries support exporters by underwriting export credit guarantees. The empiricalevidence on the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368566
The objective of this paper is to investigate the trade potential of the fifteen old EU countries with the ten new members having joined on May 1st, 2004. Our focus lies not so much on the integration process already having taken place, but on the importance of institutional factors for trade....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046810
This study was prepared by Stefan Lachenmaier while he was working with the Ifo Institute for Economic Research. It was completed in March 2007 and was accepted as a doctoral thesis by the Economics Department of the University of Munich (LMU). The subject of this study is an econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008791362
Gegenstand der Studie sind die Auswirkungen der geplanten EU-Osterweiterung auf die gesamtwirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Freistaat, auf die Wettbewerbsfähigkeit in Bayern ansässiger Unternehmen des Verarbeitenden Gewerbes, des Dienstleistungsgewerbes und des Baugewerbes, sowie auf die...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008791383