[eng] This article examines 1976-1998 annual wage data for a male cohort entering the labor market in 1976. Thanks to the richness of the data, we can analyze wage dynamics during a portion of the cohort’s life cycle – unlike nearly all other studies on the subject, which are obliged to...

[eng] This article aims to estimate leading indicators of the U.S. economy with financial variables. We use two types of hidden Markov chain models : a quantitative one (Krolzig (1997)) and a qualitative one (Gregoir and Lenglart (2000)). Both models provide a robust and reliable framework for...

[fre] L'impact des dispositifs d'emploi sur le devenir des jeunes chômeurs : une évaluation économétrique sur données longitudinales, . par Liliane Bonnal, Denis Fougère, Anne Sérandon.. . Cet article s'intéresse à l'évaluation de certaines politiques publiques d'emploi, instaurées en...

[eng] This paper measures the effect of undergoing a retraining programme on finding a permanent job . It uses a generalised Tobit model with several endogenous selections . Retraining programmes increase the beneficiaries ’ likelihood of finding a permanent job by an average of 8 points ....

[eng] Mobility and Short-Term Job Arrangements on the French Job Market: A Longitudinal Analysis for the 1986 to 1988 Period, by Denis Fougère, Thierry Kamionka.. . This paper deals with estimates based on a "mover-stayer" model using the panelized French Labour Force Survey for 1986 to 1988....

[spa] La modelización econométrica de las transiciones individuales en el mercado de trabajo, . por Jean-Pierre Florens, Denis Fougère, Thierry Kamionka y Michel Mouchart.. . Este artículo propone una presentación general y no demasiado técnica de los modelos econométricos actualmente...

[spa] Los determinantes individuates de la duración del desempleo, . Liliane Bonnal, Denis Fougère.. . En el presente artículo se analiza, desde un punto de vista estadístico, los efectos de las características individuales sobre las duraciones médias y los tipos de duración de riesgos...

[eng] This paper surveys recent developments in the literature on microeconometric evaluation methods. The canonical statistical model is the Rubin causal model , the assumptions of which are outlined in the paper. The model provides a suitable framework for defining and examining the...