Sanders, Dwight R.; Manfredo, Mark R. - NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, … - 2001
This paper examines USDA one-step ahead forecasts of quarterly beef, pork, and poultry production. The forecasts are evaluated based on traditional criteria for optimality-efficiency and unbiasedness-as well as their performance versus an univariate time series model. The results suggest that...