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We show that higher interconnectivity among financial intermediaries induces banks to choose more leverage. Although this leads to higher investment growth, the banking sector becomes more vulnerable to aggregate shocks (crises). We also show that learning about the likelihood of a crisis could...
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Using monthly data on temporary trade barriers (TTBs), we estimate the dynamic em- ployment effects of protectionism through vertical production linkages. First, exploiting high- frequency data and TTB procedural details, we identify trade policy shocks exogenous to eco- nomic fundamentals. We...
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One key feature of the 2008-2009 crisis has been its international dimension, as most countries have experienced large synchronous contractions. The recent crisis has also been characterized by a sharp fall in employment but not in productivity. These two characterizing features of the recent...
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Two observations suggest that financial globalization played an important role in the recent financial crisis. First, more than half of the rise in net borrowing of the U.S. nonfinancial sectors since the mid 1980s has been financed by foreign lending. Second, the collapse of the U.S. housing...
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