This paper investigates the effects of exchange rate volatility on the rice export flows of Thailand to its major trading partners namely South Africa, China, United States of America, Indonesia, Singapore and Japan for the period 2001:1−2012:12. We use a six-month moving sample standard...

The impact of export restrictions on market uncertainty has not been investigated before. This paper analyses the development of price volatility in the Ukrainian wheat market characterized by export restrictions during the commodity price peaks 2007/08 and 2010/11 within a dynamic conditional...

In the last years food security has been an increasing concern for national governments, in particular in developing countries. Although food security is conceptualized by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) in four dimensions: availability, access, utilization and stability, this...

In this paper we study the trade creation effects of the EU preferential trade agreements (PTAs) in the agriculture and food sectors for a large sample of developing countries in the period 1990-2006. We build upon the existing literature on trade with heterogeneous firms, by investigating the...

This paper presents new experimental evidence on the role of price information in agricultural markets. For this purpose, I set up a Randomized Control Trial (RCT) in the central highlands of Peru. A group of farmers in randomly selected villages got access to detailed price information for the...

The risk balancing literature suggests that business risk management (BRM) programs may, through risk balancing (offsetting adjustments between business risk and financial risk), lead farmers to take on more financial risk than they would take otherwise, which, in turn, increases the risk of...

In this article we specify a model of millet prices in the three West African countries of Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger. Using data obtained from USAID’s Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) we present a unique regional cereal price forecasting model that takes advantage of the...

The impact of violent conflict on the state of the economy has been studied extensively since the two recent decades. In most studies the state of the economy is operationalized by stock market indices of the respective countries. In this paper we suggest investigating the impact of violent...

This paper represents an initial attempt at assessing the importance of estimated demand systems for the simulation of large price shocks with respect to poverty analysis. Using a Ugandan household survey data set and an estimated flexible demand system, three different approaches to simulating...