We document that the co-movement of inflation and domestic consumption growth fluctuates over time. We argue that the co-movement of inflation and domestic consumption growth affects debt pricing and debt dynamics. In particular, a positive co-movement of inflation and consumption makes returns...

Using firm-level data on U.S. multinationals, we find that affiliates created for vertical FDI motives seem to be larger and fewer—both within the firm and across affiliates—while affiliates that appear to be created for horizontal FDI motives are smaller and more common. Next, we...

This paper develops a methodology for predicting the impact of trade liberalization on exports by industry (2-digit ISIC) based on the distribution of exports before the reform by product (5-digit SITC). Using the results of Kehoe and Ruhl (2009) that much of the growth in trade after trade...

The United States has borrowed heavily from the rest of the world since the early 1990s. We build a model where this borrowing is driven by foreign demand for saving – a global savings glut – that matches the dynamics of the U.S. trade balance, real exchange rate, sector-level...