We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has … risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK … index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the …

We analyze a range of macrofinancial indicators to extract signals about cyclical systemic risk across 107 economies … patterns over the financial cycle. We find that liquidity and solvency risk indicators tend to be counter-cyclical, whereas … mispricing risk ones are procyclical, and they all lead the credit cycle. Our results lend support to high-level accounts that …