Showing 1 - 10 of 75
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529313
of war; 2) given the war, what explains the reduction in economic growth in terms physical capital, labor force, human … capital, and productivity; and 3) what potential growth scenarios for Syria there could be in the aftermath of war. Estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012113903
In this paper, authors explore the effects of uncertainty on pricing of pollution permits, through the use of a dynamic model of pollution markets. Authors consider two major sources of uncertainty - that arising from the volatility of demand for the underlying resource and that coming from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012247811
This paper studies the cross-country patterns of risky innovation and growth through the lens of international trade. It uses a simple theoretical framework of risky quality upgrading by firms under varying levels of financial development to derive two predictions. First, the mean rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012257050
Myanmar's economy performed better in 2017/18 with a modest growth acceleration that partially reversed the deterioration experienced in 2016/17. While the outlook remains positive, risks have intensified. The economy experienced a broad-based increase in real GDP growth to 6.4 percent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012645306
and skewness of world gross domestic product growth are associated with ex-ante information of four risk factors: term … methodology also decomposes the variance and skewness of the predictive distribution accounting for the shares of selected risk … application to forecast world gross domestic product growth is used to test the Bayesian entropy methodology. Predictive variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245794
This paper analyzes the dynamic effects of rate-of-return regulation on firms'emissions compliance behavior when the price of emissions permits is uncertain. The paper shows that uncertainty regarding the price of permits would motivate a regulated firm to adopt a more self-sufficient strategy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012246000
Growth in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) has generally disappointed since the 2009 global recession, with sizable forecast downgrades in most years. EMDEs continue to face downside risks to growth outlook over the next couple of years. These include heightened global policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230795
-2018 may have caused a 1 percentage point decline in world trade growth. The paper also finds that the impact of policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167789
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000033234