of war; 2) given the war, what explains the reduction in economic growth in terms physical capital, labor force, human … capital, and productivity; and 3) what potential growth scenarios for Syria there could be in the aftermath of war. Estimates …

and skewness of world gross domestic product growth are associated with ex-ante information of four risk factors: term … methodology also decomposes the variance and skewness of the predictive distribution accounting for the shares of selected risk … application to forecast world gross domestic product growth is used to test the Bayesian entropy methodology. Predictive variance …

Uninsured risk constrains households in their production decisions in many developing countries. Similarly to crop …

Traditional risk assessments use asset losses as the main metric to measure the severity of a disaster. This paper … proposes an expanded risk assessment based on a framework that adds socioeconomic resilience and uses wellbeing losses as the … process at the household level, this risk assessment provides new insights into disaster risks in Sri Lanka. The analysis …