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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008649078
This paper examines the interaction between macro-financial and climate-related risks. It brings together different strands of the literature on climate-related risks and how these relate to macro-financial management and risks. Physical impacts of climate change as well as the transition toward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228213
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529313
of war; 2) given the war, what explains the reduction in economic growth in terms physical capital, labor force, human … capital, and productivity; and 3) what potential growth scenarios for Syria there could be in the aftermath of war. Estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012113903
This paper studies the cross-country patterns of risky innovation and growth through the lens of international trade. It uses a simple theoretical framework of risky quality upgrading by firms under varying levels of financial development to derive two predictions. First, the mean rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012257050
Myanmar's economy performed better in 2017/18 with a modest growth acceleration that partially reversed the deterioration experienced in 2016/17. While the outlook remains positive, risks have intensified. The economy experienced a broad-based increase in real GDP growth to 6.4 percent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012645306
and skewness of world gross domestic product growth are associated with ex-ante information of four risk factors: term … methodology also decomposes the variance and skewness of the predictive distribution accounting for the shares of selected risk … application to forecast world gross domestic product growth is used to test the Bayesian entropy methodology. Predictive variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245794
Uninsured risk constrains households in their production decisions in many developing countries. Similarly to crop …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012246231
Growth in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) has generally disappointed since the 2009 global recession, with sizable forecast downgrades in most years. EMDEs continue to face downside risks to growth outlook over the next couple of years. These include heightened global policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230795
Traditional risk assessments use asset losses as the main metric to measure the severity of a disaster. This paper … proposes an expanded risk assessment based on a framework that adds socioeconomic resilience and uses wellbeing losses as the … process at the household level, this risk assessment provides new insights into disaster risks in Sri Lanka. The analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012114431