Showing 1 - 10 of 34
We study how the financial conditions in the Center Economies [the U.S., Japan, and the Euro area] impact other … euro) makes the response of a financial variable such as the REER and exchange market pressure in the PHs more sensitive to … a change in key variables in the U.S. (or the euro area) such as policy interest rates and the REER. While having more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981103
Based on a dataset of 112 emerging economies and developing countries, this paper addresses two key questions regarding the accumulation of international reserves: first, has the accumulation of reserves effectively protected countries during the 2008-09 financial crisis? And second, what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061062
This paper focuses on the 1995 Latin American and 1997 East Asian crises using an insurance-based model of financial crises. First the model of Dooley (forthcoming) is described. Second, some empirical evidence for an insurance model is presented. The key variables in this approach include the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227499
currency? Unlike ten years ago, there now exists a credible competitor: the euro. This paper econometrically estimates … (we estimate a weight on the preceding year's currency share around .9). The advent of the euro interrupts the continuity … equation correctly predicts a (small) narrowing in the gap between the dollar and euro over the period 1999-2004. Whether the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105149
The euro has arisen as a credible eventual competitor to the dollar as leading international currency, much as the … euro over the period 1999-2007. This paper updates calculations regarding possible scenarios for the future. We exclude the … the de facto financial center of the euro, more so than Frankfurt. We also assume that the dollar continues in the future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759417
This paper documents the evidence for a productivity based model of the dollar/euro real exchange rate over the 1985 … the Johansen (1988) and Stock-Watson (1993) procedures. We find that each percentage point in the US-Euro area … estimation methodology, the variables included in the regression, and the sample period. We conjecture that productivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247630
currencies are less successfully explained. It may be that the results from currency-by-currency estimation are impaired by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528426
Do central banks rebalance their currency shares? The answer matters because the dollar's predominant role in large official reserve holdings means that widespread rebalancing requires central banks to buy (sell) a depreciating (appreciating) dollar, stabilising its value against other major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616637
We re-examine the Fama (1984) puzzle – the finding that ex post depreciation and interest differentials are negatively correlated, contrary to what theory suggests – for eight advanced country exchange rates against the US dollar, over the period up to June 2019. The rejection of the joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927015
After the Covid-shock in March 2020, stock prices declined abruptly, reflecting both the deterioration of investors' expectations of economic activity as well as the surge in aggregate risk aversion. In the following months however, whereas economic activity remained sluggish, equity markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334522