Stocks experiencing sharp changes in their style characteristics present unique opportunities to examine how investors view style information in making their portfolio allocation decisions. We examine the average returns of such stocks - which we call “style migrants” - and the covariation...

The returns of short-term reversal strategies in equity markets can be interpreted as a proxy for the returns from liquidity provision. Analysis of reversal strategies shows that the expected return from liquidity provision is strongly time-varying and highly predictable with the VIX index....

I explore empirically the interactions between international trade and stock markets. A simple "Lucas-tree" two-country, two-good, free-trade model with complete asset markets predicts that stock markets forecast trade flows and that stock markets react immediately and fully to news about...

We explore the influence of customer perceptions from the product market on firms' return characteristics in the stock market. Using a unique dataset containing customers' opinions on over 1,200 brands, we find that stocks of companies with prestigious brands have large negative loadings on the...

We explore whether style investing by mutual fund investors contributes to return comovement of stocks in the same style, classified by market capitalization and book-to-market ratio. We find that a stock's comovement with other stocks in its style is significantly greater when this stock is...

There is no consensus on whether macroeconomic fundamentals have any predictive power for bond risk premia, either unconditionally or conditionally over bond yields. Using Adaptive Group LASSO, a machine learning algorithm, we are able to construct a new, parsimonious macro variable that is...

This is the first study of corporate-bond mutual fund performance that examines detailed security-level holdings and returns. The new database allows us to decompose the costs and benefits of active management. In contrast to prior research on equity funds that shows evidence of stock-selection...

We study an equilibrium asset pricing model with several Lucas (1978) trees subject to persistent distress events, where the agent has incomplete information about the state of an underlying common factor and learns from the events occurring to each tree. Contrary to similar asset pricing models...

We study whether investors can exploit serial dependence in stock returns to improve out-of-sample portfolio performance. We show that a vector-autoregressive (VAR) model captures stock return serial dependence in a statistically significant manner. Analytically, we demonstrate that, unlike...

We find that procyclical stocks, whose returns comove with business cycles, earn higher average returns than countercyclical stocks. We use a half century of real GDP growth expectations from economists' surveys to determine forecasted economic states. This approach largely avoids the...