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Will the economic impact of COVID-19 persist? : prognosis from 21st century pandemics

Emmerling, Johannes; Furceri, Davide; Líbano Monteiro, … - 2021

to significant and persistent reductions in disposable income, along with increases in unemployment, income inequality …, which be associated with an increase in poverty of about 75 million people. Policy responses more effective than those in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613687

Dynamic Gains From Trade : Evidence From South Africa

Subramanian, Arvind - 2000

trade and TFP growth both over time and across sectors …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399824

What Does South Africa's Pattern of Trade Say About its Labor Markets?

Subramanian, Arvind - 2001

This paper examines the factor intensity of South Africa''s trade. The conclusion is that South Africa is revealed though its trade pattern to be capital abundant (relative to labor). Surprisingly, this result holds especially for South Africa''s trade with its high income partners, which should...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403673

Information rigidity in growth forecasts : some cross-country evidence

Loungani, Prakash; Stekler, Herman O.; Tamirisa, Natalia T. - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425662

Information rigidities in economic growth forecasts : evidence from a large international panel

Dovern, Jonas; Fritsche, Ulrich; Loungani, Prakash; … - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009726536

Can reform waves turn the tide? : some case studies using the synthetic control method

Adhikari, Bibek; Duval, Romain; Hu, Bingjie; Loungani, … - 2016

A number of advanced economies carried out a sequence of extensive reforms of their labor and product markets in the 1990s and early 2000s. Using the Synthetic Control Method (SCM), this paper implements six case studies of well-known waves of reforms, those of New Zealand, Australia, Denmark,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715188

The long-run decoupling of emissions and output : evidence from the largest emitters

Cohen, Gail; Jalles, João Tovar; Loungani, Prakash; … - 2018

For the world's 20 largest emitters, we use a simple trend/cycle decomposition to provide evidence of decoupling between greenhouse gas emissions and output in richer nations, particularly in European countries, but not yet in emerging markets. If consumption-based emissions-measures that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848132

Inflation anchoring and growth : evidence from sectoral data

Choi, Sangyup; Furceri, Davide; Loungani, Prakash - 2018

Central bankers often assert that low inflation and anchoring of inflation expectations are good for economic growth … (Bernanke 2007, Plosser 2007). We test this claim using panel data on sectoral growth for 22 manufacturing industries for 36 … of government, overall economic growth, monetary policy counter-cyclicality and the level of inflation. Importantly, the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809557

Emissions and growth : trends and cycles in a globalized world

Cohen, Gail; Jalles, João Tovar; Loungani, Prakash; … - 2017

Recent discussions of the extent of decoupling between greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and real gross domestic product (GDP) provide mixed evidence and have generated much debate. We show that to get a clear picture of decoupling it is important to distinguish cycles from trends: there is an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799677

Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts : Some Cross-Country Evidence

Tamirisa, Natalia T. - 2011

We document information rigidity in forecasts for real GDP growth in 46 countries over the past two decades. We … forecasters incorporate news about growth in other countries into their growth forecasts, with a focus on how advanced countries …‘ growth forecasts incorporate news about emerging market growth and vice versa …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399353