As part of its expanded research program, the Agricultural Estimates Division of AMS is exploring the possibilities of objective forecasts of yield for several crops. This paper summarizes results obtained from the first year's work on soybeans. Although these results must be regarded as...

U S wheat exports have fallen nearly 20 percent since 1981. Major contributing factors appear to be the strong U S dollar, debt problems m many gram-Importing countries, and mandated support levels providing an umbrella under which U S competitors can produce and sell their grams US subsidies...

Changes in the distribution of an agricultural commodity among quality classes may affect the total revenue obtained from a given quantity of product. Growers and marketing firms need to consider the best mix of qualities as well as the best level of output. This paper describes an approach to...

As a means of forecasting probable maturity dates of standard Elberta peaches, the growers in Mesa County, Colo., in past seasons have had only the 126-day average elapsed time from full bloom to the date of shipment of the first car. Methods for forecasting maturity dates more accurately than...

As part of an extensive research program, the Agricultural Estimates Division of Agricultural Marketing Service is investigating objective methods for estimating and forecasting corn yields. This paper is concerned only with one question: To what extent can dif ferences in estimates of yield per...

This article analyzes the dynamic relationships among weekly prices of price byproducts, long gram rice, and corn, using causality tests and dynamic multipliers The authors use forecasts to evaluate the time series model rice byproducts prices may be influenced more by shifts 10 demand than 10...

Agricultural economists and others engaged in agricultural research frequently have occasion to analyze the effect of changes in acreage and yield on crop production. This article describes a method of deriving statistical measures that summarize the relative influence of acreage and yield...