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In this paper we analyze elections when voters underestimate the correlation between their information sources … result from correlation neglect induce some voters to base their vote on information rather than on political preferences. We … better information aggregation. (JEL D72, D83) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011211795
play coordination games under incomplete information about whether the other side consists of bad types who always take bad … actions. Good actions may be misperceived as bad and information about past actions is limited. Conflict spirals start as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815602
Parenting daughters, sociologists have shown, increases feminist sympathies. I test the hypothesis that children, much like neighbors or peers, can influence parental behavior. I demonstrate that conditional on total number of children, each daughter increases a congressperson's propensity to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005821393
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This paper studies, theoretically and empirically, the role of overconfidence in political behavior. Our model of overconfidence in beliefs predicts that overconfidence leads to ideological extremeness, increased voter turnout, and stronger partisan identification. The model also makes nuanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011156808
In many economic, political, and social situations, circumstances change at random points in time, reacting is costly, and reactions appropriate to present circumstances may become inappropriate upon future changes, requiring further costly reaction. Waiting is informative if arrival of the next...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188465
messages affected voters' beliefs. Cross-learning occurred, as voters who received information about the incumbent also updated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107220
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