PALM, Franz C.; WINDER, Carlo C. A. - In: Annales d'Economie et de Statistique (1990) 18, pp. 25-43
In this paper, we formulate a structural time series model for aggregate quarterly nondurable consumption by using the life cycle consumption hypothesis under uncertainty to obtain a model for the trend cycle component. The seasonal components are assumed to sum to a white noise. The model is...