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We identify the origin of the contradicting perspectives on credit creation offered by Austrian, Mainstream and Post Keynesian economists as the neglect of the primacy of such assets as goods, properties and securities, which always pre-exist any transaction and loan. We develop a unified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337985
nonlinearity from a bubble calibration. In addition to forecasting the time of the end of a bubble, the new models can also …, forecasting their ending times and estimating fundamental value and the crash nonlinearity. The performance of the new models is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797688
Ending the dependence on rating agencies is a top priority for the Financial Stability Board, which coordinates the G20 financial policies. Rating agencies have been accused of contributing to the recent financial crisis by misjudging the creditworthiness of mortgage-backed securities. Their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558401
We test if issuers of asset- and mortgage-backed securities receive rating favors from agencies with which they maintain strong business relationships. Controlling for issuer fixed effects and a large set of credit risk determinants, we show that agencies publish better ratings for those issuers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750621
Using the mechanics of creep in material sciences as a metaphor, we present a general framework to understand the evolution of financial, economic and social systems and to construct scenarios for the future. In a nutshell, highly non-linear out-of-equilibrium systems subjected to exogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257508
We propose a methodology for measuring the market-implied capital of banks by subtracting from the market value of equity (market capitalization) a credit-spread-based correction for the value of shareholders' default option. We show that without such a correction, the estimated impact of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168743
Do macroprudential regulations on residential lending influence commercial lending behavior too? To answer this question, we identify the compositional changes in banks' supply of credit using the variation in their holdings of residential mortgages on which extra capital requirements were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643066
Following the 2008 financial crisis, regulation mandates the clearing of the CDS market through Central Clearing Counter-parties (CCPs). Large CCPs are now designated as 'Global Systemically Important Institutions' (GSIIs), whose unlikely-but-plausible failure threatens global financial market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419635
We show that the COVID-19 pandemic triggered a surge in the elasticity of non-financial corporate to sovereign credit default swaps in core EU countries, characterized by strong fiscal capacity. For peripheral countries with lower budgetary slackness, the pandemic had essentially no impact on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012502146
This paper provides evidence on the strategic lending decisions made by banks facing a negative funding shock. Using bank- rm level credit data, we show that banks reallocate credit within their domestic loan portfolio in at least three different ways. First, banks reallocate to sectors where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101160